Price is what you give and value is what you get. The whole discipline lives in the gap between them.
Buying for meaningfully less than a conservative estimate of value, so that being wrong need not cost you.
Graham's three most important words, and the heart of the whole method. You cannot value a business precisely, the future will not cooperate, and you will sometimes be wrong, so you demand a gap between the price you pay and the value you estimate. That gap absorbs errors and bad luck. The wider your uncertainty about a business, the wider the margin you should require. Price is what you give, value is what you get, and the difference is your protection.
See also: Mr. Market , Reverse discounted cash flow
Graham's parable of the market as a moody partner who quotes you a different price every day, some euphoric, some despairing.
Imagine a business partner who each day offers to buy your share or sell you his, at a price driven by his mood rather than by the business. On most days you simply ignore him. His usefulness is that now and then his panic lets you buy cheaply, or his greed lets you sell dearly. The lesson is temperament: the market is there to serve you, not to instruct you, and its swings are opportunities to act on, not verdicts to obey.
See also: Margin of safety
Instead of guessing a company's value, you read the price backward to find the growth it already assumes, then judge whether that is believable.
A discounted cash flow estimates value by projecting future cash and discounting it back to today, which invites false precision through hopeful assumptions. We run it in reverse: take the price the market is offering and solve for the owner-earnings growth that would justify it. That turns a vague valuation into a single testable claim. You then set the implied growth against what the business has actually delivered, and decide whether the market is asking you to believe something reasonable.
How it is figuredSolve for the growth rate where today's price equals the discounted stream of future owner earnings
See also: Discount rate , Owner-earnings yield , Margin of safety
A company's owner earnings as a percentage of its market price: the cash return at today's price if nothing grew.
The inverse of a price-to-earnings multiple, expressed in cash an owner can keep. A yield of 5% is the starting return you would earn if the business simply held steady, before any growth. It is the plainest way to weigh what you are paying against a risk-free Treasury yield: a business that yields less than a government bond and is not growing is asking a great deal of the buyer.
See also: Owner earnings , Discount rate
The rate at which a future dollar is marked down to its worth today: your required return, anchored to interest rates.
The gravity in every valuation. A dollar received years from now is worth less than one today, and the discount rate sets how much less. Anchor it to the long-term Treasury yield plus whatever premium you want for the risk, then watch what happens: as the rate rises, the value of distant cash falls and the growth a price demands climbs. Most of what looks like a change in a company's worth is really a change in this rate.
See also: Reverse discounted cash flow
Graham's rough ceiling for a defensive buyer: a price no higher than about 15 times earnings, and price times book no higher than about 22.5.
A blunt screen against overpaying, using a three-year average of earnings so you are not paying for a single good year. Buffett and Munger later let the rule go, recognizing that a wonderful business can deserve fifty times earnings if its returns endure. Read it as the bargain-hunter's floor, a discipline against your own enthusiasm, not a ceiling on good judgment.
See also: Margin of safety